- Buy Crypto
- Markets
- Futures
- Spot
- Copy Trade
Earn- More
Analysis: BTC Concentration of Chips Decreasing, Chip Structure Support Effective, Rebound Probability Higher than Continuing to Explore Downside After Fakeout
BlockBeats News, January 4th, On-chain data analyst Murphy stated in a post that "On January 1, 2026, the chip concentration within a 5% range of the BTC spot price reached 14.9%, approaching the high volatility risk zone. However, in the following two days, January 2nd and January 3rd, it decreased instead of increased, and has now dropped to 14.5%. At the same time, BTC's price is slowly rising. Historical data shows that if the concentration decreases due to an increase in the BTC price, it will continue to rise during the continued decrease, and vice versa.
Currently, URPD data shows that the BTC accumulated at $87,000 has reached 822,000 coins; the long and short parties are seriously divided at this level, and after intense bargaining, they are gradually leaning towards a direction. When the turnover position starts moving to the right, it proves that as the highest massive candle on the current URPD, its support function is effective. Therefore, my current personal judgment is: the moving range between $92,000 and $104,000 is a reasonable range.
In terms of technical indicators, when the daily K closing stands above the descending trend line ($90,588), it is the signal for the expected rebound, which has now been met. Indeed, the risk of a false breakout cannot be ruled out, but from the current data and comprehensive indicators, I personally believe that the probability of a real rebound is greater than the probability of continuing to probe lower after a false breakout. Unless during this process, BTC falls below the effective support point of $87,000, returning below the downtrend line, the chip concentration continues to rise, then a reassessment will be necessary."
You may also like
Trump Says He Was Unaware of $500M UAE Investment in World Liberty Financial
Key Takeaways: US President Donald Trump denied knowledge of a $500 million UAE investment in World Liberty Financial.…
Crypto Industry and Banks at a Stalemate Over Stablecoin Yield Deal
Key Takeaways The White House has urged a compromise on stablecoin yields to progress Senate crypto legislation. Crypto…
Why Vitalik Buterin Sold Over 700 Ethereum (ETH) Despite Market Recovery
Key Takeaways Vitalik Buterin sold over 700 Ethereum not for market reasons but to finance long-term projects. The…
Binance Withdrawals Restored Following Temporary Disruption
Key Takeaways Binance faced technical difficulties affecting withdrawals, but services were quickly restored within 20 minutes. The disruption…
Asian Markets Stabilize as Bitcoin Trades Around $78K
Key Takeaways Bitcoin steadies at approximately $78,000 as Asian markets recover from recent volatility. Regional equities, including Japan’s…
Bitcoin Price Prediction: The Warsh Shock & The Stablecoin Summit—Is the Bull Case Dead?
Key Takeaways Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Federal Reserve Chair has caused a drop in liquidity for riskier assets,…
White House Continues to Negotiate Over Crypto Market Structure Bill
Key Takeaways The White House is pushing for a compromise on the contentious issue of stablecoin yields in…
Billionaire Michael Saylor’s Strategy Acquires $75M More Bitcoin – Is This a Bullish Sign?
Key Takeaways Michael Saylor’s Strategy has expanded its Bitcoin holdings by purchasing an additional 855 BTC for $75.3…
Polymarket Bettors Assign Over 70% Probability of Bitcoin Dropping Below $65K — Are They Correct?
Key Takeaways Polymarket users predict Bitcoin has a 71% chance of falling below $65,000 in 2026, reflecting market…
CFTC Regulatory Shift Could Unlock New Growth for Coinbase Prediction Markets
Key Takeaways Newly appointed CFTC Chair, Michael Selig, aims for a unified federal oversight approach for crypto-linked prediction…
We Hacked Perplexity AI to Predict the Price of XRP, Bitcoin, and Ethereum By the End of 2026
Key Takeaways Perplexity AI predicts XRP may soar to $8 by 2026, fueled by legal victories and supportive…
Current Crypto Price Predictions: An In-Depth Analysis of XRP, Dogecoin, and Shiba Inu
Key Takeaways XRP, Dogecoin, and Shiba Inu are experiencing significant price declines amid geopolitical uncertainties and general market…
Pepe Coin Forecast: Price Appears Dismal, Yet Savvy Investors Rally Behind the Scenes
Key Takeaways Pepe Coin has experienced significant price drops, yet indicators suggest it may soon bottom out, with…
BitMine Reports 4.285M ETH Holdings, Expands Staked Position With Massive Reward Outlook
Key Takeaways BitMine Immersion Technologies has reported significant crypto holdings valued at $10.7 billion. The company’s Ethereum holdings…
Crypto Exchanges’ Stock Plunge 60% as Trading Volumes Dwindle – Is the Decline Ending or Just Beginning?
Key Takeaways Trading volumes on major crypto exchanges have drastically fallen, with a nearly 90% drop from October…
Best Crypto to Acquire Now February 2 – XRP, Solana, Ethereum
Key Takeaways Recent market turmoil saw Bitcoin plunge dramatically, affecting all major cryptocurrencies. XRP, Solana, and Ethereum are…
Ethereum Price Prediction: Top ETH Bulls Face $7.6 Billion in Paper Losses as Price Drops Below $2,400
Key Takeaways Ethereum has faced a downturn, dropping 19% below $2,400, resulting in significant paper losses for major…
Shiba Inu Price Prediction: SHIB Just Crashed to a 3-Year Low – Is SHIB Heading Towards Zero?
Key Takeaways Shiba Inu has recently hit a significant low, experiencing a 15% drop that places it at…
Trump Says He Was Unaware of $500M UAE Investment in World Liberty Financial
Key Takeaways: US President Donald Trump denied knowledge of a $500 million UAE investment in World Liberty Financial.…
Crypto Industry and Banks at a Stalemate Over Stablecoin Yield Deal
Key Takeaways The White House has urged a compromise on stablecoin yields to progress Senate crypto legislation. Crypto…
Why Vitalik Buterin Sold Over 700 Ethereum (ETH) Despite Market Recovery
Key Takeaways Vitalik Buterin sold over 700 Ethereum not for market reasons but to finance long-term projects. The…
Binance Withdrawals Restored Following Temporary Disruption
Key Takeaways Binance faced technical difficulties affecting withdrawals, but services were quickly restored within 20 minutes. The disruption…
Asian Markets Stabilize as Bitcoin Trades Around $78K
Key Takeaways Bitcoin steadies at approximately $78,000 as Asian markets recover from recent volatility. Regional equities, including Japan’s…
Bitcoin Price Prediction: The Warsh Shock & The Stablecoin Summit—Is the Bull Case Dead?
Key Takeaways Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Federal Reserve Chair has caused a drop in liquidity for riskier assets,…
App