Institution: Fed's Two More Rate Cuts by 2025 Seen as Virtually Certain

BlockBeats News, October 27th, Aptus Capital Advisors Fixed Income Department Head John Luke Tyner stated that considering the Federal Reserve's shift towards focusing on the labor market and signs indicating a moderation in price pressures, it is almost certain that the Fed will cut interest rates twice in 2025. However, as we move into 2026, the sustainability of the rate-cutting cycle will be questioned.

The market expects the Fed to cut interest rates about three times in 2026, which would bring the federal funds rate to around 3%. As the accommodative policy gradually transmits (with a lag), we are concerned that the economy may reaccelerate while other factors such as energy prices hit bottom and rise, which could cause inflation data to bottom out again (rebound). (Jin10)