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Next Week Outlook: Fed Rate Cut a 'Done Deal', Hawk-Dove Debate in the Spotlight
BlockBeats News, December 6th. Next week, the last FOMC meeting of the year will arrive, with the interest rate decision set to be announced at 3:00 on Thursday (UTC+8), followed by Fed Chair Powell's monetary policy press conference at 3:30 (UTC+8). According to CME FedWatch, there is an 84% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut next week. The upcoming FOMC meeting is expected to be one of the most controversial in recent years, with investors focusing on the policymakers' divergent views on rate cuts and the signals Fed Chair Powell will send about the future direction of policy. Of the 12 FOMC voting members, 5 are opposed or skeptical of further easing monetary policy, while 3 members support a rate cut. Since 2019, there has not been a meeting where three or more dissenting votes have occurred, making dissension a closely watched issue. Key macroeconomic data and events are as follows:
Tuesday:
RBA Interest Rate Decision and Monetary Policy Press Conference by RBA Governor Lowe;
Wednesday:
US Q3 Labor Cost Index q/q; Bank of Canada Interest Rate Decision;
Thursday:
FOMC Interest Rate Decision and Summary of Economic Projections, followed by Fed Chair Powell's monetary policy press conference;
US Initial Jobless Claims up to December 6th;
Friday:
Fed releases the US Household Financial Health Data from Q3 2025 Z.1 Report;
FOMC Voter and Philadelphia Fed President Harker speak on economic outlook for 2026;
FOMC Voter and Cleveland Fed President Mester speak;
Chicago Fed President Evans participates in a host dialogue at the Chicago Fed's 39th Annual Economic Outlook Symposium.
Market Holiday Note: NYSE closes early at 2:00 Beijing time on Wednesday; US stock markets, several European markets, Korean markets, and Australian markets are closed on Thursday. Trading of CME Group's precious metals, crude oil, forex, and equity index futures contracts, as well as ICE's Brent crude oil futures contracts, will be suspended for the entire day.
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